What will happen in 2008




















As the summer stretched into September, these nervous references began to noticeably accumulate, speckling the broadsheet columns like a first, warning sprinkle of ash before the ruinous arrival of wildfire. In mid-September catastrophe erupted, dramatically and in full public view.

Financial news became front-page, top-of-the-hour news, as hundreds of dazed-looking Lehman Brothers employees poured onto the sidewalks of Seventh Avenue in Manhattan, clutching office furnishings while struggling to explain to the swarming reporters the shocking turn of events. Why had their venerable year-old investment banking firm, a bulwark of Wall Street, gone bankrupt? And what did it mean for most of the planet? The superficially composed assessments that emanated from Washington policymakers added no clarity.

The secretary of the treasury, Hank Paulson, had—reporters said—"concluded that the financial system could survive the collapse of Lehman. Then-President George W. Bush had no explanations. He could only urge fortitude. And because that system had become a globally interdependent one, the U.

So…what happened? The financial crisis had its origins in the housing market, for generations the symbolic cornerstone of American prosperity. Federal policy conspicuously supported the American dream of homeownership since at least the s, when the U. Policymakers reasoned they could avoid a return to prewar slump conditions so long as the undeveloped lands around cities could fill up with new houses, and the new houses with new appliances, and the new driveways with new cars.

All this new buying meant new jobs, and security for generations to come. Fast forward a half-century or so, to when the mortgage market was blowing up. According to the Final Report of the National Commission on the Causes of the Financial and Economic Crisis of the United States, between and , mortgage debt rose nearly as much as it had in the whole rest of the nation's history. At about the same time, home prices doubled.

Around the country, armies of mortgage salesmen hustled to get Americans to borrow more money for houses—or even just prospective houses.

Origin of crisis The collapse of the US housing bubble, which peaked in FY , was the primary and immediate cause of the financial crisis. World-wide effects Almost no nation in the world, developing or developed, has been spared the effects of the US financial crisis.

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Learn about our editorial policies. Reviewed by Eric Estevez. Article Reviewed September 25, Learn about our Financial Review Board. In its role as the bank of last resort, the Fed became the only bank that was still lending. Article Sources. Your Privacy Rights. To change or withdraw your consent choices for TheBalance. At any time, you can update your settings through the "EU Privacy" link at the bottom of any page. Macroeconomics refers to the behaviour and performance of the economy as a whole, by considering general economic factors such as the price level, productivity and interest rates.

Monetary policy uses the supply of money and interest rates to influence economic activity. This is in contrast to fiscal policy which depends on changes in taxation or government spending. Mutualisation of debt entails moving from a government bond that is the responsibility of a single member of the eurozone to make it the joint responsibility of all members.

Quantitative easing is the process by which a central bank purchases government bonds and other financial assets from private financial institutions. The institutions selling assets now have more money and the cost of borrowing is reduced. Individuals and businesses can borrow more, so boosting spending and increasing employment — though it is also possible that, when this process was employed, money went into buying equities, so boosting the gains of richer people.

Reflation refers to the use of policies that are employed to boost demand and increase the level of economic activity by increasing the money supply or reducing taxes, and so breaking the debt-deflation cycle.

Sovereign debt is the debt of national governments, with interest and repayment secured by taxation. If debt was too high, the country might default. This became a risk in , above all in Greece. This article was compiled from a feature in the October issue of BBC History Magazine which interviewed a panel of experts….



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